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For now. It's still expanding rapidly. A lot of countries, including the US, don't exactly give the impression they've got a good handle on this.

If left to expand, this is going to turn into another unavoidable seasonal flu, except more contagious, more severe, and more deadly. And for now, with no vaccine.

A couple of important reasons to try to slow this thing down are:

* Hospitals don't have the capacity to deal with the number of severe COVID-19 patients they're likely to get. There's a good reason China built a new hospital in a week. Severe cases end up on the ICU, and we could end up with hundreds of thousands severe cases.

* Slowing it down gives scientists more time to find a vaccine.

If you wait for it to get worse than the flu, it will be too late.



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