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qlte
8 days ago
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METR and Redwood Offer Holy %^ Postmortem of the H...
That's totally true, I have no issues with a changing opinion over time. The problem is expressing both opinions with 100% certainty and not updating priors to consider that your
new
position could also be completely wrong.
help
s1artibartfast
8 days ago
[–]
Does anyone
not
admit they could be wrong. All of these people are constantly talking about probability, not saying they are 100% certianty.
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