10-20 years? I doubt it. There are a bunch of companies actively working in bringing AI into robots, so they can make your dishes. And so far progress looks quite good. Also, if enough people are going for the same backup plan it might not work out. Why should anyone book you as a personal trainer instead of the other 500 guys in town. And who is going to be able to afford paying you anyway?

  > There are a bunch of companies actively working in bringing AI into robots, so they can make your dishes.

I know, I'm excited to buy the first relatively affordable ones.

  > Also, if enough people are going for the same backup plan it might not work out.

Sure, could happen. You can't really plan for the future -- we like to think we can, but the best you can do is set your goals and deal with the hand life gives you along the way.

  > Why should anyone book you as a personal trainer instead of the other 500 guys in town.

I'm not particularly worried about this, but that's an individual thing based on network/connections and life history that doesn't apply to everyone.

I’d be willing to bet any amount of money that there will be ~the same or more people doing physical labor in 10 years than today.

I doubt it. It’s not just America working on these breakthroughs anymore. Now we have two powers working at break neck speed to get to that point and the Chinese are making a lot of progress.

Eh robots will still be more expensive than human labor in a lot of the world

Those robots are a gimmick and they can only do prescribed tasks in a super constrained environment. They are cashing in on LLM hype right now, vision has had some advances thanks to transformers but we are so far away in terms of the hard stuff (dexterity and physical sensing) still.

Yeah humanity is doomed, for a first world citizen maybe because everything is gonna be so expensive (and worth to automate)

I'd say 5 to 10 years instead of 10 to 20, but... we'll see

Is that 10-20 years number based on anything? I genuinely have no idea, but when I saw a video showing what's happening at the World Humanoid Robot Games[1], I realized I didn't have a good idea of where we really are with robotics.

We are talking that hundred millions of people will switch their jobs, how you will keep your value or earning as personal trainer. It's not easy to say switch the job. This question must be answered by politicians not us.

I won't. Software pay is absurd relative to value provided.

But my wife and I have been homeless before, so living on a shoestring budget in anything nicer than a tent is acceptable living conditions to me.

I am sure I will be plenty comfy no matter how the world changes.

> My backup plan is being a personal trainer.

AIs are really good at being personal trainers and seem to be far more educated and informed than most I know.

A personal trainer is partly a social experience.

My new AI personal trainer app will be cheaper than you /s