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Made the $20B through excessive leverage, too.


Tale old as time, they never quit when they're ahead.[1]

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jesse_Livermore


Hwang couldn’t have unwound his massive positions without crashing the prices. There was no quitting while you’re ahead for him.

I still really don’t understand what game he was playing.


He definitely could have unwound his positions quietly over time. He'd have moved prices, sure, and his profits would have been less than what was marked to market, but nothing would have crashed. Forced selling from margin calls is what crashes prices.


My impression is it is not at all clear that he could have unwound in a profitable way. If he could have, why did he miss the margin call? He was leveraged to fuck and sunk every little price increase into further leverage.


With the caveat that I am certainly no expert, my understanding is that he blew up when VIAC issued a secondary offering, which flooded the market with new shares at a lower price, triggering a margin call then forced liquidation. So there was an exogenous shock.

Of course, the kind of mindset that would have him take profits is not the kind of mindset that got him to such leveraged paper gains to begin with.


1. Buy lots of stock quickly and loudly.

2. Sell it slowly and quietly.

3. Profit!

I don’t think this is how markets work.




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